The 5 best ways to invest in Gold
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The 5 best ways to invest in Gold
The ultimate dollar hedge investment will always be gold. Investing
in gold through ownership of the metal itself, mutual
funds, or gold mining stock provides the most direct counter to the dollar. As
the dollar falls, gold will inevitably rise.
In a moment, we’ll provide you
with many ways for positioning your portfolio to profit from a bull market in
gold. For now, we emphasize the high probability of gold’s future. The real
potential for profits in the coming years and decades is not going to be found
in the traditional American blue chip industry. That is a financial dinosaur
that can no longer compete in the world market.
The future growth is going to be seen in gold. The world economy
may remain off the gold standard, but ultimately the tangible value of gold as
the basis for real value-whether acknowledged by central banks or not-will
never change. Historically, this has always been the case, and it always will
be. In other words, we are on a “gold standard” in spite of the popularity of
fiat.
You have many choices.
In the following paragraphs, you’ll discover five ways to invest
in gold. Based on your level of market experience and familiarity with
products, one of these will be appropriate for you.
1. Direct ownership.
There is nothing like gold bullion, the ultimate expression of
pure value. Historically, many civilizations have recognized the permanence of
gold’s value. For example, Egyptian civilizations buried vast amounts of gold
with deceased pharaohs in the belief that they would be able to use it in the afterlife.
Great wars were fought, among other reasons, to pillage stores of gold.
Why the
allure? The answer: Gold is the only real money, and its value cannot be
changed or controlled by government fiat-the underlying reason for governments
to go off the gold standard, unfortunately.Gold’s value will rise based on the
pure forces of supply and demand, no matter what Mr. Greenspan decrees
regarding interest rates or greenbacks in circulation.
The big disadvantage to
owning gold is that it tends to trade with a wide spread between bid and ask
prices. So don’t expect to turn a fast profit. You’ll buy at retail and sell at
wholesale, so you’ll need a big price jump just to break even. However, you
should not view gold as a speculative asset, but a defensive asset for holding
value.
Since your dollars are going to fall in value, gold is the best place to
preserve value. The best forms for gold ownership are through minted coins:
one-ounce South African Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, or American Eagles.
2. Gold exchange-traded funds.
The recent explosion in exchange traded funds (ETFs) presents an
even more interesting way to invest in gold. An ETF is a type of mutual fund
that trades on a stock exchange like an ordinary stock. The ETF’s exact
portfolio is fixed in advance and does not change.
Thus, the two gold ETFs that
trade in the United States both hold gold bullion as their one and only asset.
You can locate these two ETFs under the symbol “GLD” (for the streetTRACKS Gold
Trust) and “IAU” (for the iShares COMEX Gold Trust). Either ETF offers a
practical way to hold gold in an investment portfolio.
3. Gold mutual funds.
For people who are hesitant to invest in physical gold, but
still desire some exposure to the precious metal, gold mutual funds provide a
helpful alternative. These funds hold portfolios of gold stocks-that is, the
stocks of companies like Newmont Mining that mine for gold. Newmont is an
example of a senior gold stock.
A senior is a large, well-capitalized company
that has been around several years and has a profitable track record. They tend
to own established mines that produce known quantities of gold each year. For
many investors, selection of such a company is a more moderate or conservative
play (versus picking up cheap shares in fairly young companies).
4. Junior gold stocks.
This level of stock is more speculative. Junior stocks are less
likely to own productive mines, and may be exploration plays-with higher
potential profits but also with greater risk of loss. Capitalization is likely
to be smaller than capitalization of the senior gold stocks. This range of
investments is for investors whose risk tolerance is broader, and who accept
the possibility of gold-based losses in exchange for the potential for
triple-digit gains.
5. Gold options and futures.
For the more sophisticated and experienced investor, options
allow you to speculate in gold prices. But in the options market, you can
speculate on price movements in either direction. If you buy a call, you are
hoping prices will rise. A call fixes the purchase price so the higher that
price goes, the greater the margin between your fixed option price and current
market price.
When you buy a put, you expect the price to fall. Buying options
is risky, and more people lose than win. In fact, about three-fourths of all
options bought expire worthless. The options market is complex and requires
experience and understanding. To generalize, options possess two key traits-one
bad and one good. The good trait is that they enable an investor to control a
large investment with a small, and limited, amount of money.
The bad trait is
that options expire within a fixed period of time. Thus, for the buyer time is
the enemy because as the expiration date gets closer, an option’s “time value”
disappears. Anyone investing in options needs to understand all of the risks
before they spend money. The futures market is far too complex for the vast
majority of investors.
Even experienced options investors recognize the high
risk nature of the futures market. Considering the range of ways to get into
the gold market, futures trading is the most complex and, while big fortunes
could be made, they can also be lost in an instant.
We cannot know, predict, or even guess, when the demise of the
dollar is going to occur, or how quickly it will take place. But we do know it
is going to occur. The tragic mismanagement of monetary policy by the Fed over
many years has made this inevitable.
Removing the U.S. monetary system from the gold standard was not
merely a decision of short-term effect. Nixon may have seen the move as a means
for solving current economic problems, but it had long-lasting impacts: trade
deficits, growing federal debt, and the ability to print money endlessly and
build a new credit-based economy. Internationally, the decision by the United
States virtually forced all other major currencies to also go off the gold
standard.
Any investor who views the economic situation broadly-both
domestically and internationally-can see that trouble lies ahead. We have
delayed the inevitable because China is a partner in our monetary woes.
The Chinese are building their own debt on the dubious
foundation of the U.S. dollar, and other Asian economies have been forced to go
along for the ride. When the dollar falls, many other countries will suffer as
well.
The offset, logically, is found in commodities. Investing in oil stocks
makes sense, for example, because the price of oil is rising and as it becomes
more difficult to drill oil those companies that own drilling and exploration
operations will benefit. It makes sense to invest in other commodities as well.
The tangible asset play is clearly where future value is going
to lie. With China’s never-ending need for coal, iron ore, tungsten, copper,
oil, and other metals, the future of tangible markets is the bright spot in the
gloomy financially based economics of the world.
Leading the charge is gold. It is ironic that monetary policy
follows a predictable pattern.
Governments overprint money and their currency crashes.
Inevitably, they always return to gold, but often at great expense and with
considerable suffering. We find ourselves in another one of those moments in
time where irresponsible monetary policy has put us at risk. But we don’t have
to simply hold on and wait for the demise of the dollar; we can take action now
because that demise is great for your portfolio-if you position yourself in
tangible assets rather than in empty fiat promises and the bizarre economic
premise of U.S. monetary policy.
Goods and services can be paid for only with goods and services.
Currency is nothing but an IOU, a promissory note that is not backed up with
any tangible value. Once we reach our national credit limit, monetary policy
will be forced to retreat. When that happens, traditional investors and their
savings accounts are going to be hit hard. The beneficiary of the falling
dollar will be the investor whose holdings emphasize tangible value of goods:
resources and precious metals.
Every danger to one group of people is invariably an opportunity
to another. It all depends on where you position yourself. Those investors
positioned in dollar-based investments are going to suffer the loss of
purchasing power when the dollar’s value disappears. Those who have moved their
investments to higher ground will benefit from the change.
Addison WigginFor The Daily Reckoning
July 20, 2007
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